── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Mackenzie Mcdonald
84%16%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | Q2 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | QF | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-3 |