── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Karen Khachanov
49%51%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Karen Khachanov | 4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 7-6(5) 6-2 |