── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Cameron Norrie
59%41%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 7-5 6-7(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Cameron Norrie | 2-6 7-6(1) 6-1 |