── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Sebastian Ofner
66%34%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#110
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUT
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-24 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Sebastian Ofner | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-08-21 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(4) 7-5 |