── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Taylor Fritz
38%62%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington | Hard | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2024-05-20 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |