── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Alejandro Tabilo
59%41%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CHI
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |