── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Stefanos Tsitsipas
49%51%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GRE
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenStefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16HalleGrassR16Alex Michelsen7-6(5) 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Alex Michelsen7-5 6-3 2-6 6-4
2024-09-25TokyoHardR32Alex Michelsen4-6 6-1 6-2