── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Aleksandar Vukic
77%23%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenAleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR16Alex Michelsen6-3 6-2
2023-06-12Nottingham CHGrassR32Alex Michelsen2-6 7-6(7) 6-4
2023-02-27Waco CHHardQFAlex Michelsen6-4 6-4