── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Tomas Barrios Vera
70%30%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#121
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(7) 6-3 |