── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
69%31%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Michelsen■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-06US OpenHardR16Alex Michelsen7-6(6) 6-4 6-4