── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Corentin Moutet
74%26%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | SF | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | SF | Corentin Moutet | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Corentin Moutet | 6-1 6-3 |