── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ugo Humbert a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Ugo Humbert
46%54%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Ugo Humbert
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenUgo Humbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Alex Michelsen7-5 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardR32Ugo Humbert6-4 6-4