── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Zizou Bergs
58%42%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Zizou Bergs
39th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Zizou Bergs
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#74
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenZizou Bergs
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Zizou Bergs6-3 2-6 6-2
2024-08-19Winston-SalemHardR16Alex Michelsen6-1 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Alex Michelsen6-3 4-6 6-4