── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Vacherot 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Valentin Vacherot
42%58%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(4) 6-4 |