── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Brandon Holt
86%14%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Brandon Holt
9th · poor
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Brandon Holt
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#26
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Michelsen■ Brandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassR16Alex Michelsen6-4 6-4