── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Francisco Cerundolo
50%50%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
59th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 2-6 7-5 6-4 |