── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Sebastian Baez
59%41%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#77
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings