── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Brandon Nakashima
47%53%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |