── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Jesper De Jong
76%24%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 6-4 |