── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Lorenzo Musetti
31%69%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4 |