── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Jacob Fearnley
73%27%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#91
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GBR
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Bloomfield Hills CH | Hard | F | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 3-6 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 |