── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Mattia Bellucci
67%33%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
193cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Alex Michelsen | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 7-6(1) |