── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Shintaro Mochizuki
83%17%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
JPN
193cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | QF | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |