── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Mariano Navone
43%57%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 2-6 6-2 7-5 |