── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Coleman Wong
74%26%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Coleman Wong
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#143
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
HKG
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenColeman Wong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR32Alex Michelsen6-4 6-2