── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Juncheng Shang
79%21%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CHN
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-18 | Next Gen Finals | Hard | RR | Alex Michelsen | 4-1 1-1 RET |
| 2023-07-10 | Chicago CH | Hard | SF | Alex Michelsen | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-10-03 | Tiburon CH | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |