── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Juncheng Shang
63%37%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Juncheng Shang
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#96
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CHN
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenJuncheng Shang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-18Next Gen FinalsHardRRAlex Michelsen4-1 1-1 RET
2023-07-10Chicago CHHardSFAlex Michelsen4-6 7-5 6-3
2022-10-03Tiburon CHHardR32Alex Michelsen7-5 4-6 7-6(5)