── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Federico Cina
85%15%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Federico Cina
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#163
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Michelsen■ Federico Cina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-31US OpenHardR128Alex Michelsen6-4 6-1 6-0