── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Alexander Zverev
26%74%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(3) |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Learner Tien | 6-3 6-4 |