── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Marcos Giron
78%22%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Marcos Giron
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#22
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Learner Tien | 7-6(2) 4-6 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Marcos Giron | 6-1 1-6 7-6(4) |