── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Learner Tien
Yoshihito Nishioka
83%17%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
JPN
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Learner TienYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassR32Learner Tien6-7(3) 7-6(3) 0-0 RET