── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Cristian Garin
78%22%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 28% / 72%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#99
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Learner Tien | 6-0 2-6 6-0 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | Q1 | Cristian Garin | 7-5 7-6(7) |