── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Cameron Norrie
61%39%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Metz | Hard | F | Learner Tien | 6-3 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2024-12-30 | Hong Kong | Hard | R32 | Cameron Norrie | 6-3 7-5 |