── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Reilly Opelka
78%22%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
180cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Learner Tien | 6-4 7-6(11) |