── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Andrey Rublev
52%48%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-5 6-2 |