── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Frances Tiafoe
59%41%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Learner Tien | 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 7-5 6-1 |