── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Matteo Berrettini
63%37%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Metz | Hard | QF | Learner Tien | 5-7 6-2 6-3 |