── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Denis Shapovalov
72%28%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
CAN
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Learner Tien | 7-6(4) 7-5 |