── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Learner Tien
Corentin Moutet
70%30%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Learner TienCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Learner Tien4-6 6-4 6-4
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassQFCorentin Moutet6-2 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR32Learner Tien7-6(10) 6-3 6-3