── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Corentin Moutet
76%24%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#22
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Learner Tien | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Corentin Moutet | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(10) 6-3 6-3 |