── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
75%25%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Learner Tien | 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 5-7 6-4 |