── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
81%19%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Learner Tien | 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 5-7 6-4 |