── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
51%49%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#22
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Learner Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 6-2 |