── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Learner Tien
Adam Walton
76%24%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Learner TienAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Learner Tien7-6(3) 7-6(8)
2025-02-10Delray BeachHardR32Learner Tien6-4 6-3
2023-10-02Tiburon CHHardR16Adam Walton6-2 6-4