── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Learner Tien
Adam Walton
79%21%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Adam Walton
42th · average
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Adam Walton
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Learner Tien■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Learner Tien7-6(3) 7-6(8)
2025-02-10Delray BeachHardR32Learner Tien6-4 6-3
2023-10-02Tiburon CHHardR16Adam Walton6-2 6-4