── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Learner Tien
Francisco Cerundolo
53%47%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 59% / 41%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Learner TienFrancisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardR32Learner Tien4-6 6-3 6-4