── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Sebastian Baez
74%26%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Learner Tien | 6-3 7-6(4) |