── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Flavio Cobolli
55%45%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
68th · average
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Learner Tien | 6-3 6-2 |