── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Flavio Cobolli
61%39%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Learner Tien | 6-3 2-6 10-7 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Learner Tien | 6-3 6-2 |