── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Learner Tien
Daniel Merida Aguilar
56%44%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Learner Tien
63th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Learner Tien■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Learner Tien | 6-3 6-2 |