── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Blockx
Casper Ruud
45%55%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Blockx
84th · strong
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Return
Alexander Blockx
49th · average
Casper Ruud
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
NOR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Blockx■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayQFAlexander Blockx6-4 6-4