── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Blockx
Casper Ruud
39%61%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Blockx
88th · strong
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Alexander Blockx
49th · average
Casper Ruud
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
NOR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander BlockxCasper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayQFAlexander Blockx6-4 6-4