── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Blockx 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Blockx
Luca Nardi
82%18%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Blockx
88th · strong
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Alexander Blockx
49th · average
Luca Nardi
45th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander BlockxLuca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardQ2Alexander Blockx6-4 6-3