── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Federico Cina 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Federico Cina
Elias Ymer
61%39%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Federico Cina
23th · below avg
Elias Ymer
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#163
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SWE
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Federico Cina■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | R16 | Federico Cina | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Lexington CH | Hard | R32 | Federico Cina | 6-3 7-5 |