── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Reilly Opelka 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Federico Cina
Reilly Opelka
35%65%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Federico Cina
23th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#163
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Federico Cina■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Federico Cina3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7(6) 6-4