── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Federico Cina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
41%59%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Federico Cina
23th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#163
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Federico Cina■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24ChengduHardR32Federico Cina6-3 6-2